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NDP widens lead but BC election remains too close to call
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NDP widens lead but BC election remains too close to call

There is still no clear winner in the 2024 BC election after counting summarized on Saturday, but new numbers from Elections BC show the NDP gaining some ground.

The party now leads over the BC Conservatives by 106 votes in the Juan de Fuca-Malahat riding, up from 20, and 178 votes in Surrey City Centre, up from the previous 93. The NDP has also tightened the race in Surrey-Guildford, now just 12 votes behind the Conservatives, instead of 103.

The updated numbers came throughout the day Saturday as election officials began tallying the 65,000 absentee and mail-in ballots that had not yet been counted. Those tallies, as well as several riding recounts, are set to continue on Sunday and Monday.

Prior to Saturday, the BC NDP were leading or elected in 46 seats, the BC Conservatives in 45 seats and the BC Greens were elected in two seats. In the BC Legislature, 47 seats are required to form a majority government.

No ridings were flipped due to the updated results, but CBC News upgraded four ridings it had the NDP leading in to projected wins, as well as one riding the Conservatives were leading in to a projected win.

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The full results of the 2024 election will not be made official until two recounts are conducted on Sunday and Monday.

Those will be in the Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Surrey City Center ridings, where the NDP made gains on Saturday, but the original margin of victory was under 100 votes.

Week-long cliffhanger

British Columbians have been waiting all week to learn who their next government will be.

That’s because Elections BC had to count around 65,000 absentee and mail-in ballots that were sent in after the close of advance voting, and was mandated by law to wait until Saturday to begin doing so.

While most ridings’ results this weekend will be counted by electronic tabulators, the recounts in the Juan de Fuca-Malahat and Surrey City Center ridings will be done manually.

The final tally will then be completed on Monday with the counting of more than 22,000 absentee ballots. Results will be updated on Election BC’s website hourly that day.

Any district where the margin of victory is 100 votes or less is subject to an automatic recount. Parties can also request a recount in close ridings.

A person holds out a voting card to a poll worker.
A sample voter card is seen being used to demonstrate new electronic tabulators, which were used in most BC polling stations during this year’s provincial election. (Chad Hipolito/The Canadian Press)

In response to a question from CBC News about whether Surrey-Guildford — where the margin of the Conservatives’ lead has shrunk to under 100 votes — would also see a recount, Elections BC said they will know the answer on Monday.

“Once final count is complete on (Oct.) 28 we will be able to confirm if a district will go to an automatic judicial recount,” spokesperson Andrew Watson said in an email.

“If the difference between the top two candidates following the conclusion of final count is less than 1/500th of the total ballots considered, there will be an automatic judicial recount in that district.”

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